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The mortality rate of acute intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) can reach up to 40%. Although the radiomics of ICH have been linked to hematoma expansion and outcomes, no research to date has explored their correlation with mortality. In this study, we determined the admission non-contrast head CT radiomic correlates of survival in supratentorial ICH, using the Antihypertensive Treatment of Acute Cerebral Hemorrhage II (ATACH-II) trial dataset. We extracted 107 original radiomic features from n = 871 admission non-contrast head CT scans. The Cox Proportional Hazards model, Kaplan-Meier Analysis, and logistic regression were used to analyze survival. In our analysis, the "first-order energy" radiomics feature, a metric that quantifies the sum of squared voxel intensities within a region of interest in medical images, emerged as an independent predictor of higher mortality risk (Hazard Ratio of 1.64, p < 0.0001), alongside age, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS), and baseline International Normalized Ratio (INR). Using a Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis, "the first-order energy" was a predictor of mortality at 1-week, 1-month, and 3-month post-ICH (all p < 0.0001), with Area Under the Curves (AUC) of >0.67. Our findings highlight the potential role of admission CT radiomics in predicting ICH survival, specifically, a higher "first-order energy" or very bright hematomas are associated with worse survival outcomes.
RESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Perihematomal edema (PHE) represents secondary brain injury and a potential treatment target in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). However, studies differ on optimal PHE volume metrics as prognostic factor(s) after spontaneous, non-traumatic ICH. This study examines associations of baseline and 24-h PHE shape features with 3-month outcomes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included 796 patients from a multicentric trial dataset and manually segmented ICH and PHE on baseline and follow-up CTs, extracting 14 shape features. We explored the association of baseline, follow-up, difference (baseline/follow-up) and temporal rate (difference/time gap) of PHE shape changes with 3-month modified Rankin Score (mRS) - using Spearman correlation. Then, using multivariable analysis, we determined if PHE shape features independently predict outcome adjusting for patients' age, sex, NIH stroke scale (NIHSS), Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), and hematoma volume. RESULTS: Baseline PHE maximum diameters across various planes, main axes, volume, surface, and sphericity correlated with 3-month mRS adjusting for multiple comparisons. The 24-h difference and temporal change rates of these features had significant association with outcome - but not the 24-h absolute values. In multivariable regression, baseline PHE shape sphericity (OR = 2.04, CI = 1.71-2.43) and volume (OR = 0.99, CI = 0. 98-1.0), alongside admission NIHSS (OR = 0.86, CI = 0.83-0.88), hematoma volume (OR = 0.99, CI = 0. 99-1.0), and age (OR = 0.96, CI = 0.95-0.97) were independent predictors of favorable outcomes. CONCLUSION: In acute ICH patients, PHE shape sphericity at baseline emerged as an independent prognostic factor, with a less spherical (more irregular) shape associated with worse outcome. The PHE shape features absolute values over the first 24 h provide no added prognostic value to baseline metrics.
